供需失衡→价格暴涨/暴跌→厂商扩产/减产→新一轮循环。这套“周期铁律”几乎成了半导体行业的常识。
It all began last December when WBD agreed to sell its Warner Bros. studio and HBO Max streaming service to the streaming giant Netflix. Days later, Paramount Skydance lobbed in a hostile bid to buy all of WBD. Amid multiple twists and turns—and the CEOs of both bidding companies separately visiting President Trump to make their cases—WBD declared on Feb. 26 that it would agree to Paramount’s bid, which had gone through various permutations to make it more appealing. Netflix co-CEO Ted Sarandos declined to sweeten the offer, saying that for Netflix the deal had always been nice-to-have, not need-to-have.
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中信证券研报进一步指出，随着2026年国内商业用地租金下降幅度放缓、资深加盟商情绪趋于谨慎、头部四大酒店集团Pipeline减少，酒店行业供给增速将进一步回落。在高线城市入住率翻正预期下，价格料将呈现一定弹性，头部酒店RevPAR同比预计仅实现低个位数增长。这意味着，单纯依靠规模驱动的增长模式已难以为继，质量深耕与体验创新将成为下一阶段竞争的核心命题。
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